Oil Products Consumption and Economic Growth in Cameroon Households: An Assessment Using ARDL Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis

Authors

  • Flavian Emmanuel Sapnken Laboratory of Technologies and Applied Science, University Institute of Technology, University of Douala, PO Box 8698 Douala, Cameroon
  • Jean Gaston Tamba Laboratory of Technologies and Applied Science, University Institute of Technology, University of Douala, PO Box 8698 Douala, Cameroon
  • Salome Essiane Ndjakomo Higher Technical Teachers' Training College, University of Yaounde 1, PO Box 886 Ebolowa, Cameroon
  • Francis Djanna Koffi Laboratory of Technologies and Applied Science, University Institute of Technology, University of Douala, PO Box 8698 Douala, Cameroon

Abstract

This study identifies the factors accountable for the historical growth trends in kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) consumption in Cameroon households, thereby quantifying their short- and long-run effects for the period 1994-2014. ARDL bound test and Granger-causality following Toda-Yamamoto procedure under an augmented VAR framework are estimated. Empirical results validate the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship on one hand between kerosene consumption, prices, income, and urbanization; and on the other hand between LPG consumption, prices, income, and urbanization. Prices, income and urbanization have significant positive impact on kerosene and LPG consumption both in the short- and long-runs, with evidence of high degree of fuel substitution from kerosene to LPG. Granger causality test show that there exists bidirectional causality between LPG consumption and income at the 5% significance level, whereas there is no causality between kerosene consumption and income. This means that an increase in LPG consumption affects economic growth with feedback effect. Consequently, supporting energy policies aimed at increasing LPG consumption while reducing kerosene consumption is achievable in Cameroon. Other captious policy measures and sensitive issues such as market liberalization, energy accretion programs and market competitiveness to upgrade availability, accessibility, distribution and extension of energy services are discussed.Keywords: oil products consumption; Elasticity; ARDL; Causality; Households; CameroonJEL Classifications: C22, C4, C5, R2DOI: https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.9877

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Downloads

Published

2020-10-10

How to Cite

Sapnken, F. E., Tamba, J. G., Ndjakomo, S. E., & Koffi, F. D. (2020). Oil Products Consumption and Economic Growth in Cameroon Households: An Assessment Using ARDL Cointegration and Granger Causality Analysis. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 10(6), 510–523. Retrieved from https://econjournals.net.tr/index.php/ijeep/article/view/9877

Issue

Vol. 10 No. 6 (2020)

Section

Articles

License

Submission of an article implies that the work described has not been published previously , that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere, that its publication is approved by all authors and tacitly or explicitly by the responsible authorities where the work was carried out, and that, if accepted, will not be published elsewhere in the same form, without the written consent of the Publisher. The Editors reserve the right to edit or otherwise alter all contributions, but authors will receive proofs for approval before publication.